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MyPokerOdds

How often do suited cards flop a flush draw?

Suited hole cards flop a flush draw (exactly two more of the suit) 10.94% of the time, and a made flush 0.84% — about 1 in 8.5 flops for a draw or better.

Probability
10.94%
about 1 time in 9.1
flop a made flush
0.84%
Exact. All 19,600 possible flops for Ah Kh were evaluated.

You hold two of the thirteen cards in a suit; eleven remain. A flush draw needs exactly two of them among the three flop cards and one card of another suit: C(11, 2) × 39 = 2,145 of the 19,600 flops, just under 11%. A flopped flush needs all three: C(11, 3) = 165 flops, 0.84%.

Being suited adds a little under 3 percentage points of equity to a hand preflop. Most of that comes from these 11% of flops, where the draw then completes about 35% of the time by the river.

  1. Flops that bring exactly two of your suit2,145
  2. All flops19,600C(50, 3)
  3. Probability10.94%C(11, 2) × 39 / C(50, 3)

Quick check

About how often do suited cards flop a flush draw?

Show answer

About 11% — roughly 1 flop in 9.

Try it

Change any card; the numbers recompute from the same engine that produced the answer above.

Your hand
Board
Hand now
Ace High
Outs
15
of 47 unseen
By the turn
31.9%
15 / 47
By the river
54.1%
two cards to come

The 15 highlighted cards are your outs.

What you’re drawing to

  • Flush draw9 outs
  • Backdoor straight draw0.93%

    10 of the 1081 turn-and-river combinations make a straight.

  • Two overcards6 outs

    Pairing an overcard makes top pair, which is not always the best hand.

Shortcut vs. exact

Cards to comeRule of 2/4ExactGap
Turn only30%31.91%1.91 pts
Turn and river60%54.12%+5.88 pts

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