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How does a small pocket pair do against two overcards?

Pocket sevens have 55.4% equity against ace-king offsuit preflop — close to a coin flip, with the pair slightly ahead.

Probability
55.39%
about 1 time in 1.8
As Kc equity
44.61%
Exact. Every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards was evaluated.

A pair versus two overcards is a race. The overcards will pair one of their six outs by the river about half the time, but the pair also improves and sometimes the overcards' pair is beaten by a set or a straight.

The gap widens or narrows with the specific cards: overcards that can make straights and flushes (suited connectors like J-T suited) do better than disconnected ones; pairs that block the overcards' straights do better still.

  1. 7h 7d wins55.25%
  2. Tie0.28%
  3. As Kc wins44.47%
  4. 7h 7d equity55.39%win + tie ÷ 2
  5. Boards enumerated1,712,304

Try it

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Board · Preflop
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Opponent 1

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Result

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