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Break-even equity by bet size

A handful of numbers to know cold.

4 minute read

Bet sizes come in a few standard fractions of the pot, and each has a fixed break-even equity that does not depend on the pot's actual size. Learn these and you rarely need arithmetic at the table.

BetPot oddsBreak-even equityBluff must work
¼ pot5 : 116.7%20.0%
⅓ pot4 : 120.0%25.0%
½ pot3 : 125.0%33.3%
⅔ pot2.5 : 128.6%40.0%
¾ pot2.3 : 130.0%42.9%
Pot2 : 133.3%50.0%
1½× pot1.7 : 137.5%60.0%
2× pot1.5 : 140.0%66.7%

Read it both ways. Facing a half-pot bet, you need 25% to call. Making a half-pot bet with no equity, you need the opponent to fold a third of the time to break even. The same fraction, from opposite sides of the table.

Quick check

Facing a pot-sized bet, what equity do you need? Facing two-thirds pot?

Show answer

33.3% and 28.6%.